{
  "publication": "E-2026-005",
  "edition": 1,
  "L0_signal": {
    "note": "historical per-run signal not recorded before the ledger existed; current wake state captured at promotion time",
    "wake_state_at_promotion": {
      "next_wake_hours": 12.0,
      "reason": "quiet",
      "peak": 0.0419,
      "decided_at": "2026-07-21T23:08:10+00:00",
      "next_at": "2026-07-22T11:08:10+00:00",
      "poke": {
        "until": "2026-07-12T10:44:58+00:00",
        "ceiling_h": 3.0,
        "reactive": 0.15,
        "since": "2026-07-12T04:44:58+00:00"
      }
    }
  },
  "L1_question": {
    "kind": "unavailable",
    "note": "frontier.json unreadable: 'list' object has no attribute 'get'"
  },
  "L2_sources": [
    "https://fred.stlouisfed.org"
  ],
  "L3_findings": [
    {
      "file": "2026-06-29-us-inflation.md",
      "date": "2026-06-29",
      "chars": 2248,
      "sources": []
    },
    {
      "file": "2026-06-30-us-inflation.md",
      "date": "2026-06-30",
      "chars": 2050,
      "sources": []
    },
    {
      "file": "2026-07-01-us-inflation.md",
      "date": "2026-07-01",
      "chars": 2112,
      "sources": []
    },
    {
      "file": "2026-07-02-us-inflation.md",
      "date": "2026-07-02",
      "chars": 2097,
      "sources": []
    },
    {
      "file": "2026-07-03-us-inflation.md",
      "date": "2026-07-03",
      "chars": 2120,
      "sources": []
    },
    {
      "file": "2026-07-04-us-inflation.md",
      "date": "2026-07-04",
      "chars": 2196,
      "sources": [
        "https://fred.stlouisfed.org"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "L4_synthesis": {
    "file": "us-inflation.md",
    "frontmatter": {
      "topic": "us-inflation",
      "date": "2026-07-04",
      "source": "curator",
      "model": "deepseek/deepseek-v4-pro",
      "n_sources": 6,
      "facts": 27,
      "flagged_ungrounded": [
        "Copper/Gold ratio trend: +25.7% (29 Jun) — no source cited for ratio calculation or trend derivation",
        "Copper/Gold ratio trend: +27.8% (30 Jun) — no source cited for ratio calculation or trend derivation",
        "Copper/Gold ratio trend: +29.2% (1 Jul, 2 Jul) — no source cited for ratio calculation or trend derivation",
        "Copper/Gold ratio trend: +24.1% (3 Jul) — no source cited for ratio calculation or trend derivation",
        "Market-implied 1-year Treasury: 3.96% (29 Jun) — no source cited for implied rate derivation",
        "Market-implied 1-year Treasury: 3.63% (30 Jun) — no source cited for implied rate derivation",
        "Market-implied 1-year Treasury: 3.97% (1 Jul) — no source cited for implied rate derivation",
        "Market-implied 1-year Treasury: 3.98% (2 Jul) — no source cited for implied rate derivation",
        "Market-implied 1-year Treasury: 4.0% (3 Jul) — no source cited for implied rate derivation",
        "Current effective Fed rate: ~3.63% — no source cited for this value",
        "Initial jobless claims trend: +1.9% (29 Jun, 30 Jun, 1 Jul, 2 Jul) — no source cited for trend calculation",
        "Initial jobless claims trend: +5.9% (3 Jul) — no source cited for trend calculation",
        "Building permits trend: -0.4% (2 Jul) — no source cited for trend calculation",
        "Core capex orders trend: +10.5% (29 Jun, 30 Jun, 1 Jul, 2 Jul) — no source cited for trend calculation",
        "Core capex orders trend: +10.4% (3 Jul) — no source cited for trend calculation",
        "Consumer sentiment trend: -14.2% — no source cited for trend calculation",
        "Warning threshold of ~2.5% on 5y-5y forward — attributed to 'Fed communications' but no specific source cited",
        "Relationship: 'If jobless claims accelerate further, that would be the first crack forcing the Fed's hand' — predictive claim without cited tool/source",
        "Relationship: 'A sustained drift above ~220k would signal...' — predictive claim without cited tool/source",
        "Relationship: 'Market is priced for rates to stay high or rise slightly' — assertion based on implied rate vs effective rate, but no source for implied rate derivation"
      ]
    },
    "grounded_stats": {
      "available": false,
      "grounded_steps": 0,
      "total_steps": 0
    }
  },
  "assembled_at": "2026-07-22T01:29:55+00:00"
}