{
  "method": "v1: live source-reachability per URL + claim-level flags carried from the System-2 curator (flagged_ungrounded). Full per-claim citation re-walk is v2 (external review / the Roost).",
  "audited_at": "2026-07-22T01:29:55+00:00",
  "urls_total": 1,
  "urls_alive": 1,
  "url_checks": [
    {
      "url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org",
      "checked_at": "2026-07-22T01:29:43+00:00",
      "status": 200,
      "ok": true,
      "error": "TimeoutError",
      "final_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org"
    }
  ],
  "flagged_claims": [
    "Copper/Gold ratio trend: +25.7% (29 Jun) — no source cited for ratio calculation or trend derivation",
    "Copper/Gold ratio trend: +27.8% (30 Jun) — no source cited for ratio calculation or trend derivation",
    "Copper/Gold ratio trend: +29.2% (1 Jul, 2 Jul) — no source cited for ratio calculation or trend derivation",
    "Copper/Gold ratio trend: +24.1% (3 Jul) — no source cited for ratio calculation or trend derivation",
    "Market-implied 1-year Treasury: 3.96% (29 Jun) — no source cited for implied rate derivation",
    "Market-implied 1-year Treasury: 3.63% (30 Jun) — no source cited for implied rate derivation",
    "Market-implied 1-year Treasury: 3.97% (1 Jul) — no source cited for implied rate derivation",
    "Market-implied 1-year Treasury: 3.98% (2 Jul) — no source cited for implied rate derivation",
    "Market-implied 1-year Treasury: 4.0% (3 Jul) — no source cited for implied rate derivation",
    "Current effective Fed rate: ~3.63% — no source cited for this value",
    "Initial jobless claims trend: +1.9% (29 Jun, 30 Jun, 1 Jul, 2 Jul) — no source cited for trend calculation",
    "Initial jobless claims trend: +5.9% (3 Jul) — no source cited for trend calculation",
    "Building permits trend: -0.4% (2 Jul) — no source cited for trend calculation",
    "Core capex orders trend: +10.5% (29 Jun, 30 Jun, 1 Jul, 2 Jul) — no source cited for trend calculation",
    "Core capex orders trend: +10.4% (3 Jul) — no source cited for trend calculation",
    "Consumer sentiment trend: -14.2% — no source cited for trend calculation",
    "Warning threshold of ~2.5% on 5y-5y forward — attributed to 'Fed communications' but no specific source cited",
    "Relationship: 'If jobless claims accelerate further, that would be the first crack forcing the Fed's hand' — predictive claim without cited tool/source",
    "Relationship: 'A sustained drift above ~220k would signal...' — predictive claim without cited tool/source",
    "Relationship: 'Market is priced for rates to stay high or rise slightly' — assertion based on implied rate vs effective rate, but no source for implied rate derivation"
  ],
  "flagged_ratio": 0.741,
  "seal_rule": "urls_alive>=90% AND flagged<=10% of facts",
  "verdict": "provisional"
}